More than 80% of our energy and nearly every product we rely on daily come from fossil fuels. But they’re killing the planet, right?

Wrong.

Data models used by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), traditionally a champion for fighting climate change, project that even banning ALL U.S. greenhouse gas emissions would barely put a dent in the climate.

The IPCC claims that the world needs to reach net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 to avoid the worst effects of climate change. The problem is that developing countries need to increase their energy use (and therefore their emissions) over that time, and the effect of developed countries limiting their future emissions is minimal.

For example, here is what the Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse Gas-Induced Climate Change (MAGICC) projects would happen if the United States banned fossil fuels by 2050, as many politicians are calling for.

What if the U.S. phased out fossil fuels by 2050?

Emission reductions

100% renewable electricity generation

Degrees Difference in 2100

0.038°C

Emission reductions

Ban all fossil fuels (including cars)

Degrees Difference in 2100

0.126°C

Just over twelve one-hundredths of a degree — so maybe 2050 isn’t soon enough. What about 2030, like the Green New Deal proposes?

What if the U.S. phased out fossil fuels by 2030?

Emission reductions

100% renewable electricity generation

Degrees Difference in 2100

0.042°C

Emission reductions

Ban ALL fossil fuels (including cars)

Degrees Difference in 2100

0.139°C

Those who want to ban our most affordable, reliable, abundant source of fuel might be surprised to know that banning fossil fuels and going 100% renewable — if it were even feasible — would have no meaningful impact on the temperature.

The best science indicates that our climate is is likely to remain moderate and manageable. The question remains whether imperceptibly slight warming is worth strangling our economy and quality of life.


Key Facts
Banning ALL #fossilfuels by 2050 would only cut #climatechange by 0.139°C. Two tenths of a degree isn't worth limiting our #energy, economy, and quality of life.
Despite the apocalyptic headlines circulated in the media and by celebrities, the best science indicates that our #climate is likely to remain moderate and manageable.
Share this story